Blackstone Mortgage Trust Stock Performance

BXMT Stock  USD 19.56  0.31  1.61%   
Blackstone Mortgage has a performance score of 8 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.65, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Blackstone Mortgage's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Blackstone Mortgage is expected to be smaller as well. Blackstone Mortgage Trust right now shows a risk of 1.22%. Please confirm Blackstone Mortgage Trust value at risk, and the relationship between the standard deviation and kurtosis , to decide if Blackstone Mortgage Trust will be following its price patterns.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Mild

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Blackstone Mortgage Trust are ranked lower than 8 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of comparatively uncertain primary indicators, Blackstone Mortgage may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in March 2026. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
(0.93)
Five Day Return
(0.67)
Year To Date Return
(1.18)
Ten Year Return
(21.46)
All Time Return
(83.96)
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0968
Payout Ratio
0.0313
Last Split Factor
1:10
Forward Dividend Rate
1.88
Dividend Date
2026-01-15
 
Blackstone Mortgage dividend paid on 15th of January 2026
01/15/2026
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5
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6
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01/30/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow350 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities3.5 B

Blackstone Mortgage Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  1,813  in Blackstone Mortgage Trust on November 4, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  143.00  from holding Blackstone Mortgage Trust or generate 7.89% return on investment over 90 days. Blackstone Mortgage Trust is currently generating 0.1298% in daily expected returns and assumes 1.2214% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 10% of stocks are less volatile than Blackstone, and 98% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Blackstone Mortgage is expected to generate 1.63 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 1.63 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.11 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.11 per unit of risk.

Blackstone Mortgage Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Blackstone Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 19.56 90 days 19.56 
about 18.06
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Blackstone Mortgage to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 18.06 (This Blackstone Mortgage Trust probability density function shows the probability of Blackstone Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Blackstone Mortgage has a beta of 0.65 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Blackstone Mortgage average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Blackstone Mortgage Trust will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Blackstone Mortgage Trust has an alpha of 0.0838, implying that it can generate a 0.0838 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Blackstone Mortgage Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Blackstone Mortgage

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Blackstone Mortgage Trust. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
18.0519.2620.47
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
17.3320.4921.70
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
17.8719.0820.29
Details
8 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
19.0520.9423.24
Details

Blackstone Mortgage Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Blackstone Mortgage is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Blackstone Mortgage's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Blackstone Mortgage Trust, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Blackstone Mortgage within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.08
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.65
σ
Overall volatility
0.69
Ir
Information ratio 0.06

Blackstone Mortgage Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Blackstone Mortgage for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Blackstone Mortgage Trust can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 1.77 B. Net Loss for the year was (201.83 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 393.34 M.
Blackstone Mortgage has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
About 64.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
On 15th of January 2026 Blackstone Mortgage paid $ 0.47 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: The Goldman Sachs Group Has Lowered Expectations for Blackstone Stock Price

Blackstone Mortgage Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Blackstone Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Blackstone Mortgage's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Blackstone Mortgage's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding173.8 M
Cash And Short Term Investments323.5 M

Blackstone Mortgage Fundamentals Growth

Blackstone Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Blackstone Mortgage, and Blackstone Mortgage fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Blackstone Stock performance.

About Blackstone Mortgage Performance

Assessing Blackstone Mortgage's fundamental ratios provides investors with valuable insights into Blackstone Mortgage's financial health and overall profitability. This information is crucial for making informed investment decisions. A high ROA would indicate that the Blackstone Mortgage is effectively leveraging its assets and equity to generate significant profits, making it an appealing investment. Conversely, low Return on Assets could signal underlying management issues in assets and equity, indicating a necessity for operational refinements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets(0.01)(0.01)
Return On Capital Employed 0.05  0.05 
Return On Assets(0.01)(0.01)
Return On Equity(0.05)(0.05)

Things to note about Blackstone Mortgage Trust performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Blackstone Mortgage for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Blackstone Mortgage Trust help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 1.77 B. Net Loss for the year was (201.83 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 393.34 M.
Blackstone Mortgage has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
About 64.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
On 15th of January 2026 Blackstone Mortgage paid $ 0.47 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: The Goldman Sachs Group Has Lowered Expectations for Blackstone Stock Price
Evaluating Blackstone Mortgage's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Blackstone Mortgage's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Blackstone Mortgage's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Blackstone Mortgage's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Blackstone Mortgage's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Blackstone Mortgage's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Blackstone Mortgage's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Blackstone Mortgage's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Blackstone Mortgage's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Blackstone Mortgage's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Blackstone Mortgage's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Additional Tools for Blackstone Stock Analysis

When running Blackstone Mortgage's price analysis, check to measure Blackstone Mortgage's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Blackstone Mortgage is operating at the current time. Most of Blackstone Mortgage's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Blackstone Mortgage's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Blackstone Mortgage's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Blackstone Mortgage to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.